• Business sector stronger than many had hoped
  • Oil, Japan, Eurozone, debt limit debate hurt GDP
  • Crisis fall out will take time to repair, particularly employment and personal debt
  • Iran and Eurozone are threats to US growth outlook
  • US problems are daunting but more manageable than most other countries
  • Austerity nations will need financing help
  • Some European states have no alternative to large cuts
  • IMF can support Europe if Eurozone expands firewall
  • Expects tighter restrictions on Iran
  • China is a unique challenge to the world trade system, it’s policies are “very damaging” to trading partners, needs to dial back policies on imports and FX
  • Yuan is appreciating gradually and has “some way to go”, and with other currencies must rise over time
  • Nations should boost demand if they have room to do so
  • Will stay in office until balance of Obama’s term