Down from April forecasts of +0.9% and +2.0% respectively.

Blimey that original 2013 forecast was pretty cack. Even I could have done betta than that, infact alot betta!!!!!

  • ECB’s bond-buying programme increases danger of inflation
  • ECB no longer independent of fiscal policy due to bond-buying plans
  • See risk ECB will continue buying bonds, excessive monetary policy even if states do not deliver
  • Downside risks prevail this year and next, great danger Germany will fall into recession
  • Forecasts based on assumption euro zone will gradually stabilise and investor confidence will be restored