More from Bloomberg:
- Australian expectations for inflation have slumped to a five-year low
- The three-year inflation swap fell to 1.99 percent yesterday, the lowest level since July 2009.
Hideo Shimomura, chief fund investor in Tokyo at Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management:
- Australia is an oil importer, so declining crude prices reduce inflationary pressures
- Its commodity exports like iron ore and coal remain weak and the negative impact on terms of trade will continue for a prolonged period
Commonwealth Bank of Australia says inflation probably slowed last quarter to an annual pace of 1.8 percent as fuel prices declined:
- That would take annual growth below the RBA’s target for the first time since mid-2012
Michael Blythe, chief economist at CBA:
- “The odds tilted towards a very low headline outcome as petrol prices fell …
- He expects the RBA to ‘look through’ the current petrol price for the purpose of policy deliberation
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Interesting comment from Blythe re ‘looking through’ the decline in petrol prices. but I’m not so sure … perhaps it can be couched in positive terms at prompt an RBA cut? (See this for more along these lines.)