UBS are not impressed by the stimulus announcement from China on Tuesday. In summary from the note :

  • announcement signals a positive move toward a more supportive approach
  • but it doesn't match the scale of past stimulus efforts that triggered sustained market rallies
  • monetary easing by itself won't be enough to end the current cycle of deflation and deleveraging
  • greater fiscal support is necessary
  • more fiscal stimulus could be introduced in October through a budget revision, particularly if third-quarter GDP remains significantly below the 5% mark

On FX, analysts at the bank recommend hedging exposure the the yuan on approach to US election. Their 'most preffered' is the Australian dollar, it'll benefit from China's measures.

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Earlier:

ubs china dealing room shanghai 2