The data is here:
- Australian Q3 inflation headline 2.8% y/y (expected 2.9%)
- AUD/USD little changed after the Australian inflation data - minor wobble
And, this is unlikely:
A couple of comments from around the place:
Oxford Economics:
- latest data was what was “expected”
- headline inflation back in the target band would not lead to a rate cut
- “The main game is core inflation and that is unfortunately still too high for the RBA to be comfortable with cutting rates”
- state and federal electricity subsidies curbing headline inflation
- these measures due to unwind next year
Capital Economics:
- "Although quarterly trimmed mean CPI is not yet rising at pace consistent with the RBA’s target range, we think it will do so before long," "That should pave the way for the Bank to begin easing policy at its meeting next February"
Bendigo Bank:
- a cut in February or May has remained a close call for some time
- we continue to suggest an RBA rate cut in May is most likely
The Reserve Bank of Australia hasn't updated the front page of its website yet:
I should fix that .... here we go:
Tee hee. When you know just enough HTML to be a danger to yourself and others.
(ps. Don't go checking the RBA website for my change, its only local to me ;-) )
