I posted earlier on the view from Nomura, looking for a December 2024 rate hike from the Bank of Japan, even if inflation doesn;t rise!
Snippet from Barclays, a contrasting view, saying the Bank needs to see higher inflation feeding through:
- Its likely that the BoJ will need to wait until at least the December meeting to confirm "that the next wave of service price markups is reflected on the nationwide CPI data" ... Barclays expect wage pressure will move inflation higher
- next BoJ rate hike expected in January (Barclays were previously tipping April 2025)
Barclays says the Summary of July meeting shows some members of the Board are
- biased against rate hikes
- and even those supportive of further hikles are cautious
