- Front-loading rate increases now helps avoid need for even higher rates down the road
- 100 bps hike is very unusual and reflects unusual economic circumstances of inflation at nearly 8%
- Strain of higher rates in short term will 'get us to the other side of this difficult period and back to normal'
- How high rates need to go will depend on economy
- We are projecting a soft landing but path to that has narrowed because of elevated and persistent inflation
- High inflation argues for getting to the high end of neutral or just above it
- Inflation is broadening because the Canadian economy is in excess demand
- Employers can't find enough workers and they're increasing wages to find them
USD/CAD is at the lows of the day at 1.2943 but that's come with a broad turn in risk sentiment on a big 'peak inflation ' trade.
More to come