BOE

The market has certainly noticed the slowing inflation with the pound down 65 pips today to the lowest since mid-August.

The market is 95% priced for a 25 bps cut in November but only about 75% priced for another cut in December. That's too low.

  • Inflation below target pushed around by annual base effects
  • High savings rate reflects consumer caution
  • Pensions funds should not have to make compulsory allocations to UK assets