- We are not signalling what will come next on rates
- We are not seeking to precipitate a recession
- It was absolutely imperative that the BOE raised rates today
- The pattern of persistence and sticky inflation is seen in other countries too
- We cannot continue to have the current level of wage increases
- We cannot have companies building profit margins that cause prices to rise at their current rates
The market is pricing a 33% chance of another 50 bps hike at the next meeting on August 3 with the remainder at 25 bps. The market sees a terminal rate of 6.00% with a 45% chance of going to 6.25%. That could make for a rough winter for UK mortgage-holders.