- Determined action had to be taken
- Today wasn't an isolated decision
- Risks to inflation tilted to the upside, risks to growth to the downside
- Next hike not necessarily 75 bps, not the norm
- We will determine on a meeting-by-meeting basis the level that will get inflation back to 2%
- Initial signs of inflation expectations above target warrant monitoring
- Wage growth still contained
- Where we are at is not the neutral rate
- Decision was unanimous, there were different views around the table
- Downside scenario for growth includes negative growth in 2023, sees negative growth in 2023
- We are 'so far away' from a policy setting that will be enough to bring down inflation
- We don't know what the terminal rate is
Lagarde is certainly taking a hawkish stance but it's backfiring in the FX market with worries about growth and debt sustainability hurting.
EUR/USD is down 60 pips to 0.9940.