ECB's Villeroy
ECB's Villeroy

ECBs Villeroy is weighing in after weaker data today:

  • ECB is achieving a soft landing
  • Not behind the curve today
  • Will pay close atttention to risk of undershooting target, keeping economic activity unnecessarily subdued.
  • See continuity of resilence of growth

The PMI flash data today were soft (is that a soft landing). Each missed expectations to the downside that is....

  • EUR German Final GDP q/q: MISSED - Actual 0.1% vs. Forecast 0.2%, Previous 0.2%.
  • GBP Retail Sales m/m: MISSED - Actual -0.7% vs. Forecast -0.3%, Previous 0.1%.
  • EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 43.2 vs. Forecast 44.6, Previous 44.5.
  • EUR French Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 45.7 vs. Forecast 49.1, Previous 49.2.
  • EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI: MET - Actual 43.2 vs. Forecast 43.1, Previous 43.0.
  • EUR German Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 49.4 vs. Forecast 51.6, Previous 51.6.
  • EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 45.2 vs. Forecast 46.0, Previous 46.0.
  • EUR Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 49.2 vs. Forecast 51.6, Previous 51.6.
  • GBP Flash Manufacturing PMI: MISSED - Actual 48.6 vs. Forecast 50.0, Previous 49.9.
  • GBP Flash Services PMI: MISSED - Actual 50.0 vs. Forecast 51.9, Previous 52.0.