Via a Reuters poll of analysts.

  • 55 of 59 polled sat the ECB will hike by 50bp at the next meeting, February 2
  • This would take the depo rate to 2.5%

The consensus expectation for the March meeting is also+50bp

  • +25bp is the expected in Q2, to a terminal rate of 3.25% (the poll in December had the depo terminal at 2.75%)

--

Earlier:

--

All this hawkish ECB chatter is helping euro to rise, its been doing so today:

eurusd chart 22 23 January 2023