• There is more data that we will see between now and December
  • Have to continue to weigh what makes sense
  • Fed could eventually slow down pace of rate cuts but too soon to say if it will be in December
  • Fed policy is restrictive
  • Don't see evidence of new price pressures
  • Full transcript (may be gated)

After Powell's comments yesterday, the odds of a 25 bps rate cut have dwindled to ~63% and is keeping that way now. Collins' remarks reaffirms that there is a likelihood of a pause next month and that is keeping markets on their toes.