- At some point this year, I expect policy rate will be restrictive enough to hold rates in place
- Fed not done yet, but we are likely close
- GDP growth will be modest but not forecasting a recession
- I see real GDP growth about 1% this year before climbing to 2% in 2024 and 2025
- Think unemployment will rise to modestly above 4% this year.
This is close to the party line, and suggests the end is near but is the end 5.25%? is it 5.5%? Is it 5.75%?
I guess he could have been more hawkish.
The Nasdaq is back in the black at +32 points or +0.27%. The S&P is near unchanged.
Harker is a voting member in 2023.