Harker Jackson Hole
  • Closely monitoring data to assess whether additional policy tightening will be needed
  • Projects 2023 GDP growth below 1%, unemployment to rise to 4.4%
  • Expects inflation to fall to around 3.5% this year and 2.5% next year, at 2% target in 2025
  • Sees promising signs that Fed's rate hikes are working

Harker's comments yesterday highlighted the possibility of the Fed skipping a hike at the upcoming meeting.

Some of these forecasts indicate that the Fed will be thinking about cutting around year end.