Fed's Kugler
Fed's Kugler
  • Preponderance of labor market data shows it coming into balance
  • Mon pol is 'sufficiently restrictive', economic conditions moving in the right direction
  • If wage growth continues to moderate, will soon be at levels consistent with price stability
  • Most indicators point to a slow, steady easing of labor market
  • Watching closely for signs of labor market deterioration
  • I expect some cooling of economic data to continue
  • Inflation too high but encouraged by renewed recent progress

Two things: The Fed is going to continue to be watching inflation closely but it's noisy. Ultimately, it could be a dip in jobs that could shift them more to the dovish camp.