Highlights of the November CPI report:

  • Prior was +1.0% y/y
  • CPI ex food and energy 1.7% vs 1.7% exp
  • Prior ex food and energy +1.7% y/y

In month-over-month terms:

  • CPI 0.0% vs +0.1% exp
  • Prior was -0.1%
  • Ex food and energy +0.2% vs +0.1% exp

The main headline is a touch soft and that might just be enough to tip the balance away from a taper with the two-day meeting beginning. Inflation is low and with resources prices declining, disinflationary pressures continue to build.

CPI November US chart

US CPI y/y