Highlights of the June US personal consumption expenditure report

  • Prior was +1.4% (revised to +1.5%)
  • PCE core +0.1% vs +0.1% m/m expected
  • PCE deflator 1.4% vs +1.3% y/y expected
  • PCE deflator 0.0% vs +0.0% m/m expected

Consumers:

  • Personal income 0.0% vs +0.4% expected
  • Prior personal income +0.4% (revised to +0.3%)
  • Personal spending 0.1% vs +0.1% expected
  • Prior personal spending +0.1% (revised to +0.2%)

The miss on personal income along with a downward revision stands out in a report that was generally close to expectations.

The market is little changed on the data.

Update: There is talk of some better details within the personal income category. Wage and salary compensation rose 0.4% m/m, in line with expectations. The miss was because things like dividend and interest income were soft.