Apparently the government's "EU Exit Analysis - Cross Whitehall Briefing" has leaked
- says the UK would be worse off outside the European Union under every scenario modelled
- assessment is titled "EU Exit Analysis - Cross Whitehall Briefing"
- dated January 2018
Buzzfeed say they've seen the doc, and report:
The three most plausible Brexit scenarios based on existing EU arrangements
- Under a comprehensive free trade agreement with the EU, UK growth would be 5% lower over the next 15 years compared to current forecasts, according to the analysis
- The "no deal" scenario, which would see the UK revert to World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules, would reduce growth by 8% over that period
- The softest Brexit option of continued single-market access through membership of the European Economic Area would, in the longer term, still lower growth by 2%
These calculations do not take into account any short-term hits to the economy from Brexit, such as the cost of adjusting the economy to new customs arrangements.
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Link to article: The Government's Own Brexit Analysis Says The UK Will Be Worse Off In Every Scenario Outside The EU
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