April producer price index data

PPI monthly
  • Prior was -0.2%
  • Ex food and energy -0.3% vs -0.1% expected
  • Ex food, energy and trade -0.9% vs -0.1% expected

Year-over-year:

  • Final demand -1.2% vs -0.4% exp
  • Ex food and energy +0.6% vs +0.8% exp
  • Ex food, energy and trade -0.3% vs +0.6% exp

Economists are clearly having some difficulty forecasting how the virus is affecting prices. In terms of this report, these are massive misses to the downside. That said, it's not going to make a difference to markets because the important inflation question is the interplay with wages and that pressure is negative.