February CPI data

US CPI
  • Prior was +1.4%
  • Ex food and energy +1.3% vs +1.4% expected
  • Prior ex food and energy +1.4%
  • CPI +0.4% m/m vs +0.4% expected
  • Prior m/m reading was +0.3%
  • CPI ex-food and energy +0.1% m/m vs +0.2% expected

Wage data:

  • Real avg hourly earnings +4.1% vs +5.7% y/y prior
  • Real avg weekly earnings +3.4% vs +3.9% y/y prior

It's a few months until this report is truly front-page news. The real question is how hot prices run when the economy reopens and whether that's a one-off or sustained.