That’s not a typo. Inventories rose more than 10 million barrels.

The ‘expected’ consensus is a bit dubious. After yesterday’s API numbers the market was probably looking for something between 3800K and 4200K.

Oil tried to rally today but stalled out just above $49.00 and faded back to $47.25 ahead of the data.

This is bearish news but it’s offset slightly by gasoline, distillates and refinery utilization.

  • Gasoline +588K vs +1350K exp
  • Distillates -3272K vs +780K exp
  • Refinery utilization -5.5%

The fall in refinery runs is the largest since 2008.

US refinery runs

US refinery runs

Oil down to fresh lows, -$1.53 to $46.24.

There’s a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart if we close here but it would take a close below $45.89 to really flash a sell signal.

WTI crude oil daily

WTI crude oil daily