Australian employment report for June 2022.
Employment Change: 88.4K
- expected +25.0K, prior +60.6K
Unemployment Rate: 3.5%, the lowest ever (since Sep 1974)
- expected 3.8%, prior 3.9%
Full-Time Employment Change: +52.9K
- prior was +69.4K
Part-Time Employment Change: +35.5K
- prior was -8.7K
Participation Rate: 66.8%
- expected 66.7%, prior was 66.7%
AUD popped a few points.
This is a huge result, unemployment to a record low while the participation rate rose.
Earlier in the week I noted an indicator of rapidly rising wages, link here
This result today should set a floor under the next RBA rate hike at 50bps. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe has been reluctant to say the Board has considered 75bp rate hikes. But +75 will be up for discussion at this coming meeting (August 2). The Bank of Canada surprised with a 100bp rate hike on Wednesday (CAD time), and the Monetary Authority of Singapore surprised with an out of cycle tightening earlier today. Next up, the RBA?
AUD response, adds on a few points: