Australia Q4 2021 inflation data - Core inflation 2.6% y/y (expected 2.4%)

The headline refers to the 'trimmed mean', the Reserve Bank of Australia target band for this is 2-3% over the course of a cycle.

Eamonn Sheridan

Tuesday, 25/01/2022 | 00:28 GMT

"Over the course of a cycle" allows A LOT of wiggle room for the RBA.

Anyway, the inflation data for the October to December quarter of 2021 published by the bass:

Headline +1.3% q/q and +3.5% y/y

expected 0.1.0% q/q, prior 0.8%
expected 3.2%, prior 3.0%

Core inflation: Trimmed mean +1% q/q and +2.6% y/y

expected 0.7 % q/q, prior 0.7%
expected 2.4% y/y, prior 2.1% (RBA Dec. SOMP expectation of 2.25%)

Core inflation: Weighted median +0.9% q/q and 2.7% y/y

expected 0.7% q/q, prior 0.7%
expected 2.3% y/y, prior 2.1%

AUD/USD marked a few points higher. I don't see any smoking gun here to trigger an RBA rate hike at next week's meeting. Core inflation within its target band is not going to fluster the RBA - if anything they'll explain it away due to supply chain disruption.