- January advance flash estimate +2.4%
- Prior was +0.7%
- Ex autos -2.5% vs -2.0% expected
- Prior ex autos +1.1%
- Ex autos and gas -2.4% vs +1.5% prior
- New auto sales -0.4% vs +0.1% prior
- Building material and garden equipment +14.1% vs +3.0% prior
- E-commerce sales +14.2% vs 1.1% y/y prior
- Full report
The advance number is more of a market mover than the current month. Economists still don't estimate it but if they did, I suspect it would have been lower rather than than higher because of harsh lockdowns throughout the country in January. The advance estimate -- if it holds -- shows that consumers have largely learned to live with covid restriction (though hopefully they're a thing of the past).
USD/CAD is up 5 pips to 1.2705 today. The data was overshadowed by headlines in Ukraine.