Snippet from DB on the euro, saying their view on it is neutral and hence they've lowered their end-2023 forecast to 1.07 from 1.15 previously.

DB says the main reason they remain neutral EUR/USD is the pair has failed to break higher this year due to the relative outperformance of US growth to Europe.

But further out:

  • We see this growth divergence as having peaked with forward-looking indicators improving in Europe but deteriorating in the US

On inflation and monetary policy DB nod to the FOMC as still the "most important catalyst for a move lower in the Dollar"

  • the US inflation picture is looking increasingly benign
Weekly candles eurusd 23 October 2023