• Rate cutting is likely to be slower than hiking was.
  • Inflation has slowed markedly in recent months.
  • Risks to the disinflation process remain.
  • Persistent wage gains coould slow disinflation.
  • Services costs and political tensions are other risks.
  • Decisions are to be made meeting by meeting.

Vasle is a hawk, so these comments are not surprising. The governing council is anyway pretty compact on the view that they will wait for the data until September before taking a decision.

ECB's Vasle
ECB's Vasle