Fitch analysts on China:

  • China 2025 GDP growth forecast has been revised to 4.3% from 4.5%.
  • China 2026 GDP growth has been revised to 4.0% from 4.3% in September.
  • There are tentative signs of stabilization in the real estate sector, but a prolonged downturn in the property market remains a risk.
  • The effective tariff rate on US imports from China is assumed to increase from about 10% to about 35%.
Fitch rating agency revises Australia's outlook to negative (was previoulsy 'stable'), affirms ratin