- US inflation (PCE) data due Friday - here are the critical ranges to watch
- US military is building infrastructure in northern Australia - wary of a China crisis
- Bank of Japan meet next week, a 0.1% rate hike is around 65% priced
- The RBNZ's guide for members of its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) - link to full text
- Goldman Sachs forecast Friday's data, June Core PCE Price Index at 0.2% m/m and 2.6% y/y
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1270 (vs. estimate at 7.2229)
- Singapore central bank says no change to S$NEER policy band, as expected
- Goldman Sachs say still forecast a Brent range of USD75 - 90
- Japan's Kanda says told G20 that excessive FX volatility has negative impact on economy
- Tokyo area July inflation data: Headline 2.2% y/y (prior 2.3%)
- Citi outline bearish and bullish risks for oil under Trump
- Bank of America says strong economic growth in the US means the FOMC 'can afford to wait'
- Morgan Stanley says stock rotation turned in deleveraging, eye US$45bn to sell
- New Zealand July consumer confidence 87.9 (prior 83.2)
- US inflation data due on Friday - upside risks
- UK fin min Reeves promises to fix the 'fiscal mess'
- Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 25 Jul:The USDJPY falls to lowest level since May,&bounces
- Decline in US Stocks Continues, Tech Giants Witness Major Losses
- Yellen says market should determine exchange rates
- EURUSD keeping the short term bearish bias heading toward the new day.
- Trade ideas thread - Friday, 26 July, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
Yen crosses still had some gyration but nothing like what we saw earlier this week. USD/JPY traded early to lows under 153.50, recovered to above 154.00 before dipping back to lows and, as I update, is sitting under 154.00. Kanda made some comments, nothing dramatic – in the bullets above.
EUR, AUD, GBP, and gold all rallied against the US dollar (ranges were not large). GBP, NZD and CAD were mainly sideways. The People’s Bank of China set the CNY a little stronger at its reference rate today.
News flow was very light. In US politics Trump, through his campaign team, has refused to debate Harris until she becomes the official nominee. This didn’t stop the Biden / Trump debate, so it’s a bit of a mystery.
In data we had an improved consumer confidence survey from New Zealand, but still in pessimistic territory. Tokyo inflation data was mixed, not sending conclusive signals on any wage-push inflation the BoJ is keen to see.
AUD not too convincing, but some stability.
