The focus for the session was on Chinese trade data and the Reserve Bank of Australia December monetary policy decision.

China’s trade data showed strong exports in November, ahead of expected increased trade imposts to come under the new US administration. Trump’s extra tariffs will enter the scene after today’s data showed:

  • China's November trade surplus with the US reached $34.9 bn, from $33.5 bn in October,
  • for the January – November period, China's trade surplus with the US. hit $326.8 bn.

China’s yuan strengthened on the session, catching a bid after yesterday’s stimulus promises.

Prior to the Reserve Bank of Australia announcement we had the National Australia Bank business survey for November, showing

  • business confidence fell sharply
  • business activity conditions also fell, with retail and manufacturing reporting the worst conditions, while services sector conditions improved

The Reserve Bank of Australia left its cash rate unchanged for the ninth meeting in a row at 4.35%, its highest in 13 years. The Statement softened the Bank’s hawkish stance though, with the Board saying:

  • its gaining some confidence that inflationary pressures are declining in line with these recent forecasts (but added the caveat that risks remain)
  • and the Statement removed its “not ruling anything in or out" words

AUD/USD declined into the announcement and extended its loss after.

aud wrap 10 December 2024 2