- Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee speaks Thursday
- Japan September drop in exports was the first in ten months
- Axios on Trump's refusal to release medical records
- People's Bank of China dep. governor says rate cut applies to 90% of existing mortgages
- China's housing minister says will add 1 mn village urbanization projects
- Bank of England's Woods speaking Thursday
- European Central Bank to cut rates by 25bp today - here's a 'cheat sheet'
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1220 (vs. estimate at 7.1208)
- Singapore's September exports rise 2.7% y/y (vs. 9.3% expected)
- AUD/USD leapt higher on the super Australian jobs report
- Australian September unemployment rate 4.1% (vs. 4.2% expected)
- Japan data: September exports -1.7% y/y (expected +0.5%) & imports +2.1% (expected +3.2%)
- HSBC forecast a near-term US stock market rally, citing reasons to be cautious
- NAB base case is ongoing Fed 25bp rate cuts ahead, but strong data makes a pause possible
- UK services inflation slowing more quickly, looks set to carry on, BoE to cut harder
- Australia jobs report due today - unemployment rate higher or steady?
- Goldman Sachs forecast a long series of consecutive ECB 25bp rate cuts ahead
- Goldman Sachs forecast a long series of consecutive FOMC 25bp rate cuts ahead
- Heads up for another China 'stimulus' briefing today (10am Beijing time)
- Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 16Oct: EURUSD falls below its 200 day MA ahead of ECB.
- Oil - private survey of inventory shows a headline crude oil draw
- Druckenmiller says hopes Fed doesn't make a policy mistake. (He already profited from it!)
- US stocks rebound and retrace some of the declines from yesterday's trade
- Trade ideas thread - Thursday, 17 October, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
The two items of focus for the session were the Australian jobs report, followed by another China ‘stimulus’ briefing.
Prior to thee, though, were data from Japan showing poor trader performance in September. Exports recorded their first drop in ten months. Exports fell to all major markets; China, the EU and US. USD/JPY has fallen on the session, hitting lows under 149.30 briefly in a relatively small range.
Australia’s blockbuster jobs report followed not too long after. Employment surprised on the upside (again!) in September, while the unemployment rate fell, even as participation rose to a new record high. The continued robust jobs market will be one less worry for the Reserve Bank of Australia, which is even more likely now to hold its cash rate high to fight sticky inflation. The next official quarterly CPI reading is due on October 30 and while its expected to show improvement the RBA is expected to leave its cash rate unchanged at the upcoming November 6 – 7 meeting.
AUD/USD jumped on the data release and built on the gain to highs above 0.6710 briefly.
Part of the later gain in the AUD was on the announcements from the China ‘housing’ stimulus briefing.
The briefing covered many points, the key takeaways being China to expand “white list” of property projects to support, which is intended to complete unfinished homes for buyers and support the troubled property sector. The size of the support has been boosted to 4 trillion yuan ($562bn), roughly doubled.
The People's Bank of China chimed in also, a deputy governor saying its examining allowing policy and commercial banks to issue loans to qualified companies for purchase of existing land, and that the PBoC would provide relending support for it.
Property sector stocks had risen going into the briefing. Those and AUD popped just a little more but soon reversed course.
AUD/USD is now down to around 0.6685.
