Headlines:
- Yields fall reverberates to broader markets to start the day
- USD/JPY Technical Analysis – Expectations for a 50 bps cut remain alive
- What is the distribution of forecasts for the US CPI?
- BOJ's Nakagawa: Hard to comment on timing of next rate hike
- Fed to cut rates by 25 bps at each of the remaining three policy meetings this year - poll
- UK July monthly GDP 0.0% vs +0.2% m/m expected
- US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 6 September +1.4% vs +1.6% prior
Markets:
- JPY leads, USD lag on the day
- European equities a touch higher; S&P 500 futures down 0.1%
- US 10-year yields down 2.6 bps to 3.618%
- Gold up 0.3% to $2,522.42
- WTI crude up 2.6% to $67.49
- Bitcoin down 1.4% to $56,770
The most interesting part of the session was during the handover from Asia to Europe. That came as bond yields dipped and cast a bid on the Japanese yen in FX. USD/JPY in particular fell through to test 141.00 before touching a low of 140.70 during the day. The pair then caught a bounce back after, trading back up to 141.70 now but still down by 0.5%.
As yields fell, it put some light pressure on equities as well. S&P 500 futures fell as much as 0.6% before recovering most of that to be down just 0.1% now.
Focusing back on the bond market, 2-year Treasury yields flirted with a break to its lowest level in over two years. Yields were down by as much as 6 bps to 3.55% at one point, before keeping modestly lower now at 3.58%. 10-year yields on the other hand fell further to 3.61% and is keeping thereabouts.
With Treasury yields falling, the dollar is the laggard on the day as such. EUR/USD is up 0.3% to 1.1050 while USD/CHF fell to 0.8422 initially before rebounding back a little to 0.8460 now. Meanwhile, AUD/USD is also seen up 0.3% to 0.6670 on the day.
In other markets, gold is also starting to eye a further breakout as it hovers near the topside of its recent range. The precious metal is up 0.3% to $2,522 now, with buyers on the edge of their seats in wanting to chase a breakout.
That will be another area to watch out for as we turn the focus and attention to the US CPI report later.
