Goldman Sachs says the probability of a US government shutdown is now 90%

I posted yesterday on GS on the likelihood of multiple shutdowns ahead:

• Goldman Sachs is warning that multiple US government shut downs are possible

The latest from GS is that they see the first shutdown as imminent:

• "A shutdown this year has looked likely for several months, and we now think the odds have risen to 90%”
• the most likely scenario is the government will shut down on October 1.
• “While there is still a chance that Congress can reach a last-minute deal to extend funding past Sep. 30, there has been little progress made and there is little time left,”
• “In the seemingly unlikely event Congress passes a short-term extension, we would still expect a shutdown sometime later in Q4.”

Also:

• Goldman Sachs: Fade USD weakness on potential US government shutdown

When will the last domino fall?

• Moody's warns that US government shutdown would be 'credit negative'