Two weeks ago Morgan Stanley lowered their Brent crude oil forecast to $80 / barrel. Now they've cut it even further:

now expecting an average $75 a barrel in Q4 of 2024

Citing demand headwinds:

  • "considerable demand weakness”
  • signals are of “recession-like inventory builds”

On supply:

  • oil market to remain tight through Q3
  • potential move into surplus by 2025

Brent update, a more or less sideways beginning to the week:

brent morgan stanley forecast 10 September 2024 2