As for this year itself, the agency is keeping their demand growth forecast largely steady at 970k bpd. IEA notes that the post-pandemic rebound in Chinese consumption has now run its course. And while China has accounted for roughly 70% of global demand gains last year, it is only holding a share of around 40% for this year and next.
Besides that, IEA notes that subpar economic growth, greater efficiencies and vehicle electrification to continue to weigh on demand in 2024 and 2025.