NHC forecast for Milton

The NHC is out with the latest forecast for Milton, some highlights

  • Milton's structure changing due to strong 30-35 kt southwesterly shear
  • Cloud canopy asymmetric, dry air infiltrating western circulation
  • Minimum pressure up to 931 mb, intensity now 125 kt
  • Expected to be major hurricane (Cat 3 or 4) at landfall tonight (forecast now says at the top end of Cat-3)
  • Wind field likely to expand due to interaction with front
  • Moving quickly NE at 035/15 kt, expected to slow and turn ENE overnight
  • Exact landfall location uncertain, even 12-24 hour forecasts can be off by 20-30 nautical miles
  • Risk of devastating storm surge remains across west-central and SW Florida coast

The storm should make landfall in about 12 hours.