I referred to the downgraded forecast from Goldman Sachs in a post on Monday:

That post was mainly about Goldman Sachs downgrading their US GDP forecasts.

Also on Monday I posted:

Plenty of nourishment for the bears from GS yesterday!

Anyway, back to that S&P 4,300 projection, adding a little more now, the important snippet:

  • we cut our year-end target to 4300 (from 4700)
  • reflects higher interest rates and slower economic growth than we previously assumed
  • Our new baseline forecast assumes no recession
  • A recession would see the index fall by 11% to 3600 as the P/E drops to 15x
Goldman Sachs 4300 s&P 17 May 2022

ps. Morgan Stanley are more bearish: