Analysts at UBS target the S&P 500 at 4,900 in June 2024 and 5,000 in December 2024

Citing:

  • “benign” macroeconomic backdrop healthy economy:
    • unemployment remained low, labor market cooled, real wages rose, consumer finances intact
  • a "fine" earnings season in Q4 2023
    • expects company earnings have risen 4% to 5% y/y in Q4, and thus likely that earnings beats of 3% to 5% to be expected

UBS says a soft landing has largely been priced into equities. And thus tips to wait for price pullback entry points.

ubs s&p 500 forecast 2024 15 January 2024