- Q3 was +3.2% annualized
- Personal consumption +1.0% vs +1.4% 2nd reading
- Core PCE prices +4.4% vs +4.3% expected
- PCE prices +3.7% vs +3.7% 2nd reading
- GDP final sales +3.7% vs +1.2% 2nd reading
- Corporate profits after tax -2.7% vs +0.8% in Q4
- Consumer spending on durables -1.3% vs -1.8% 2nd reading
The consumer spending numbers are a disappointment and highlights that consumers might be less of a driver of inflation than thought. That said, we're talking about data from Oct-Dec here so it doesn't tell us much about the current consumer or economy.
Percentage point changes:
- Inventories pp +1.47 pp vs +1.47 pp in 2nd reading
- Net trade pp +0.42 vs +0.46 pp in 2nd reading
- Government spending +0.65 pp vs +0.63 pp in 2nd reading
- Goods -0.01 vs -0.13 pp in 2nd reading
- Services +0.72 vs +1.06 pp in 2nd reading