- Prior was +4.9% y/y
- Core m/m +0.3% vs +0.4% expected
- PCE price index +0.6% vs +0.2% prior
- Price index y/y +6.3% vs +6.3% prior
Consumption:
- Personal income +0.5% vs +0.5% exp
- Real personal consumption -0.4% vs +0.7% prior (prior revised to +0.3%)
- Consumption adjusted +0.2% vs +0.4% expected
- Prior adj +0.9% (revised to +0.6%)
The US dollar cooled on this release and the terminal rate on Fed fund futures is now just below 3.50%. The broader market is reluctant to buy into the 'peak inflation ' narrative but yields are sliding and US 10s are testing 3%.