US GDP

Details:

  • Consumer spending +3.5% vs +3.7% advance
  • Consumer spending on durables +8.1%
  • GDP final sales +3.0% vs +3.0% advance
  • GDP deflator +1.9% vs +1.8% advance
  • Core PCE +2.1% vs +2.2% advance
  • Business investment (nonresidential fixed investment) +% vs +3.3% advance
  • PCE services inflation excluding energy and housing +2.6% vs +2.6% advance
  • Corporate profits prelim 0.0%
  • Personal saving rate 4.3% vs 4.8% advance

Contributors and subtractors to the 2.8% growth, in percentage points:

  • Consumption: +2.37 pp vs +2.46 pp advance
  • Government: +0.83 pp vs +0.85 pp advance
  • Net International trade: -0.57 pp vs -0.56 pp advance
  • Inventories: -0.11 pp vs -0.17 pp advance

The changes in this revision are immaterial. It's a healthy economy that's being led by consumption, though the revision lower in the savings rate is a bit worrisome, as are some of the comments from retailers in earnings reports recently.

US real GDP